Journal Article

The individual-level dynamics of bounded partisanship

By Anja Neundorf, Daniel Stegmueller and Thomas J. Scotto

Publication details

Publication date
Published in
Public Opinion Quarterly
Volume
75
Pages
pp. 458–482
Publisher
Oxford University Press
DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfr018
ISSN
33362

Summary

Over the past half century, scholars have utilized a variety of theoretical and methodological approaches to study the attachment or identification voters have with political parties. However, models of partisan (in)stability ignore its bounded character. Making use of Mixed Latent Markov Models, we measure the change and stability of individual-level West German partisan identification captured over a 24-year period via the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSEOP). Results suggest that distinctive subpopulations exist that follow different patterns of partisan stability. One party’s loss is not necessarily another party’s gain.

Notes

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Paper won the Second Place SOEP Prize for the Best Scientific Publication offered by the Friends of DIW in the fall of 2013

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